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Will AI replace Security Guards?

Guard, patrol, or monitor premises to prevent theft, violence, or infractions of rules. The percentage shown is a task-exposure model, not a prediction of certain job loss.

O*NET 30.3 · 33-9032.00 · modeled exposure, not guaranteed job loss
LOW TASK EXPOSURE
15%
Estimated share of representative tasks exposed to current AI capabilities.
Task automation shareⓘ
15%Automatable
Automatable15%
Augmentable47%
Hard to automate38%
Based on analysis of representative responsibilities and current AI capability maturity.
Category#
Customer-Facing
Front line / Support
Modeled pay midpoint$
$79,700/yr
Directional estimate — verify locally
Time until impact⌁
6–10+ years
Earliest 2032 · widespread 2036+
Task-level replaceability ⓘ
Representative tasks ranked from highest to lowest AI exposure.
✦Human empathy and real-time de-escalation29%
◇Lock doors and gates of entrances and exits to secure buildings.25%
✦Physical presence and relationship trust25%
⚙Patrol industrial or commercial premises to prevent and detect signs of intrusion and ensure security of doors, windows, and gates.16%
▥Respond to medical emergencies by administering basic first aid or by obtaining assistance from paramedics.12%
Impact timeline ⓘ
How AI assistance may move from early support to wider adoption.
2032Next2036+
Light supportAI provides limited help with lock doors and gates of entrances and exits to secure buildings..
AugmentationTools improve productivity without owning outcomes.
Human-ledCore work stays anchored in human empathy and real-time de-escalation.
6–10+ yearsdirectional confidence window
HOW AI CHANGES THIS JOBtyping the logic in plain English
01>Start with the real work done by Security Guards.
02>AI can help with: Lock doors and gates of entrances and exits to secure buildings.
03>If a task is repetitive and easy to check, AI pressure goes up.
04>But a person is still needed for: Human empathy and real-time de-escalation.
05>Likely result: AI mostly acts as a helper while the core job stays human-led.
06>Important: 15% is estimated task exposure—not a 15% chance of losing the job.
What AI can do
Lock doors and gates of entrances and exits to secure buildings.LOW MATCH
Patrol industrial or commercial premises to prevent and detect signs of intrusion and ensure security of doors, windows, and gates.LOW MATCH
Respond to medical emergencies by administering basic first aid or by obtaining assistance from paramedics.LOW MATCH
How estimates work →
Your human moat
◆

Human empathy and real-time de-escalation

HIGH MOAT

Combined with physical presence and relationship trust, this keeps a human in the loop.

Strength9.4
Similar-role comparison
RoleRisk
Security Guards15%
Barber / Hairdresser14%
Flight Attendant16%
Animal Control Workers16%
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Why this score?

✓The model evaluates 3 representative core tasks.
✓The core work depends on presence, dexterity, or accountability.
✓Occupation and task language comes from O*NET 30.3.
✓The strongest human advantage is human empathy and real-time de-escalation.
Research basis

O*NET 30.3 occupation tasks plus the ILO 2025 exposure framework. Scores are directional estimates.

Read ILO research →
Data: O*NET 30.3 · Model framework: ILO 2025About O*NETShare report
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Barber / Hairdresser · 14% exposureFlight Attendant · 16% exposureAnimal Control Workers · 16% exposure